This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket begins using a new oracle or resolution mechanism for newly created markets at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 - 00:00 PST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market: - A "new oracle mechanism" is defined as a resolution system that is not the UMA Optimistic Oracle and was not already in use by Polymarket at the time of this market's creation (for example, an in-house resolution system, a new third-party oracle, or a newly built dispute or arbitration system). - The mechanism may replace UMA or be used alongside it, as long as it is used to officially resolve at least one newly created Polymarket market. - Only mechanisms first adopted after the creation of this market are eligible. Oracle systems already used by Polymarket before market creation (including UMA and any existing price-feed resolution sources) do not qualify. - Announcements, plans, testnet deployments, pilots, or experiments that are not used to resolve a live market do not qualify. - Minor changes to UMA's parameters, bond sizes, dispute windows, or proposer whitelists do not qualify.

Market activity includes traded volume and minted collateral.

Quotes are in cYES; Yes and No pools are priced independently. 100% = 1 cYES.

Resolution source: • Official Polymarket communications (website, docs, blog, verified social accounts) • Official communications from the oracle provider (if applicable) • Onchain data • Consensus of credible reports

Earliest possible resolution: Jan 1, 2027, 8:00 AM UTC. This is not the event deadline or a trading cutoff.

Resolution history

1. CreatedOct 13, 2026, 6:34 AM UTC

Recent activity

1. Market activityOct 24, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC
2. Market activityOct 24, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC
3. Yes trade · 68.87 cYES at 29.1%Oct 24, 2026, 12:06 PM UTC
4. Market activityOct 24, 2026, 11:36 AM UTC
5. Market activityOct 24, 2026, 11:36 AM UTC