Prediction markets

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a smart contract/program, set of related smart contracts/programs, crypto project, crypto business, or crypto service suffers a hack or exploit totalling $5,000,000 or more at any time after the creation of this market and before November 13, 2026 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market: • The loss of funds must be verifiable onchain. • Compromised private keys leading to loss of funds count as a “hack,” provided the loss is verifiable onchain. • Oracle manipulation or misconfigurations leading to loss of funds count as a “hack.” • The value exploited must total $5,000,000 or more in a single incident to qualify for a “Yes” outcome. • The value of an exploit is measured by the realized loss incurred by users or the affected protocol(s) as a result of the incident. Unrealized losses by protocols or users do not count towards the measurable value of the exploit. • Realized losses that are later recovered do not invalidate a “Yes” outcome if the conditions above are met.

Market activity includes traded volume and minted collateral.

Quotes are in TYD; Yes and No pools are priced independently. 100% = 1 TYD.

Resolution source: • Onchain data • DefiLlama hacks dashboard

Earliest possible resolution: Nov 7, 2026, 7:54 AM UTC. This is not the event deadline or a trading cutoff.

Status updated: Nov 13, 2026, 12:52 PM UTC

Resolution history

1. CreatedNov 6, 2026, 7:55 AM UTC
2. Resolution proposed · NoNov 13, 2026, 12:52 AM UTC
3. Finalized · NoNov 13, 2026, 12:52 PM UTC

Recent activity

1. Market activityNov 13, 2026, 12:56 PM UTC
2. Market activityNov 13, 2026, 12:53 PM UTC
3. Market activityNov 13, 2026, 12:53 PM UTC
4. Market activityNov 13, 2026, 12:53 PM UTC
5. Market activityNov 13, 2026, 12:53 PM UTC