TradingCrypto Hacks · DefiLlama

Will there be a $1M+ hack this week?

Activity
12.6K TYD
Liquidity
15.8K TYD
Fees
23.59 TYD
Rules & activity

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a smart contract/program, set of related smart contracts/programs, crypto project, crypto business, or crypto service suffers from a hack/exploit totalling $1,000,000 or more, at anytime between the initiation date of this market and exactly 7 days later. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, the loss of funds must be verifiable onchain. Compromised private keys (leading to loss of funds) will count under a “hack” for the purposes of this market, as long as the loss is provably verifiable onchain. Oracle manipulation/misconfigurations leading to loss of funds count under a “hack.” The value exploited must total $1,000,000 or more in a single incident to qualify for a “Yes” outcome. The value of an exploit is measured by the realized loss incurred by users or the protocol(s) affected as a result of the incident. Unrealized losses by protocols or users do not count towards the measurable value of the exploit.

Market activity includes traded volume and minted collateral.

Quotes are in TYD; Yes and No pools are priced independently. 100% = 1 TYD.

Resolution source: • Onchain data • DefiLlama hacks dashboard

Earliest possible resolution: Oct 27, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC. This is not the event deadline or a trading cutoff.

Resolution history

  1. CreatedOct 20, 2026, 5:22 AM UTC

Recent activity

  1. No trade · 238.1 TYD at 17.4%Oct 21, 2026, 1:15 PM UTC
  2. Yes trade · 11.29 TYD at 82.7%Oct 21, 2026, 1:15 PM UTC
  3. No trade · 95.62 TYD at 17.2%Oct 21, 2026, 9:07 AM UTC
  4. No trade · 62.62 TYD at 17.1%Oct 21, 2026, 7:54 AM UTC
  5. No trade · 8.57 TYD at 17.1%Oct 21, 2026, 7:54 AM UTC
Weeks with a $1m+ hack10 of 10before this market
Since this market opened0
Aug 15, 2026Shaded: this market's window · log scaleOct 27, 2026

Quotes fetched just now.

As of Oct 21, 2026, losses in 2026 so far: $2.345b across 305 incidents; largest: Bitget ($387m, Sep 2026).

Total Value Hacked (USD)

$21.168b

Total Value Hacked in DeFi (USD)$9.279b

Total Value Hacked in Bridges (USD)$3.69b

NameChainsClassificationTechnique
AlpsCon AI Trade HubOct 19, 2026$152,809
Logo of BSC
Token & Share AccountingIncorrect Share AccountingSolidity
CofferOct 18, 2026$0.70
Logo of Solana
Token & Share AccountingRounding Error
QubicOct 17, 2026$1.3m
Logo of Qubic
Key CompromiseWeak Key GenerationJavaScript
Pirate ChainOct 16, 2026N/A
Logo of Pirate Chain
Token & Share AccountingUnbacked Mint
AffluentOct 16, 2026$1.05m
Logo of TON
Token & Share AccountingUnbacked Mint
UNCX Network V2Oct 14, 2026$86,000
Token & Share AccountingIncorrect Share AccountingSolidity
GamdomOct 13, 2026$4.21m
Frontend & InfrastructureKey Leaked via Infrastructure
PapertradeOct 10, 2026$1.28m
Logo of Hyperliquid L1
Oracle ManipulationSpot Price ManipulationSolidity
Ledger (Supply Chain)Oct 9, 2026$93m
Frontend & InfrastructureSupply Chain Attack
BitBayOct 8, 2026$14,838
Logo of Polygon
Protocol LogicWithdrawal Logic FlawSolidity
EthervistaOct 8, 2026$18,600
Logo of Ethereum
Token & Share AccountingArithmetic ErrorSolidity
Locus FinanceOct 7, 2026$18,000
Logo of Arbitrum
Solidity
Set ProtocolOct 6, 2026$21,873
Logo of Ethereum
Token & Share AccountingRounding ErrorSolidity
MakerDAO ETH-A Liquidation Keeper BotOct 6, 2026$538,000
Logo of Ethereum
Access ControlImproper Access ControlSolidity
GoldPesaOct 2, 2026$114,900
Logo of Base
Token & Share AccountingIncorrect Share AccountingSolidity
FlashLoopAdapterOct 1, 2026$305,000
Logo of Ethereum
Access ControlImproper Access ControlSolidity
NEAR IntentsOct 1, 2026$3.8m
Logo of BSC
Bridge & Cross-ChainBridge Logic FlawSolidity
SKYDAOSep 30, 2026$183,483
Logo of BSC
Protocol LogicSwap Logic FlawSolidity
Fake GIWA BridgeSep 27, 2026$2.08m
Logo of Ethereum
Social EngineeringImpersonation ScamSolidity
Demex PerpSep 25, 2026$191,929
Bridge & Cross-ChainCross-Chain Message SpoofingSolidity
DuelbitsSep 24, 2026$7m
Key CompromiseHot Wallet Key Compromised
BitgetSep 24, 2026$387m
Key CompromiseHot Wallet Key Compromised
Limit Break Payment ProcessorSep 24, 2026$1.8m
Access ControlToken Approval AbuseSolidity