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DeFi Yields II

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By ryan

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๐Ÿ“Š Market Summary & Analyst Commentary

May 2026 Onchain Yield Landscape

The yield environment is structurally bifurcated. Stablecoin supply has doubled since 2024 to >$320B but borrow demand has not kept pace โ€” compressing vanilla lending yields below US Treasury rates for the first sustained period since 2022.

Where the alpha lives right now:

  • Structured yield products: Mainstreet MSUSD (12% organic, $78M), Morpho Alpha USDC Delta V2 (12.6% organic, $25M) and Avantis USDC (11.9%, $45M) capture genuine credit demand without heavy incentive dependency
  • Concentrated DEX LP: Active management of Uniswap V3 and Aerodrome Slipstream positions on high-volume pairs (ETH/USDC on Base: 65% APY; ETH/USDC on Ethereum: 28%) remains the highest organic yield source, but requires IL management
  • Rate spike harvesting: Aave USDC pinned at 91.6% utilization โ€” base yield is 3.28% but a repeat LRT/LST stress event (as in April) would spike supply APY to 12%+ briefly
  • RWA hybrid yield: OnRe ONYC reinsurance (11.9%, $174M), Goldfinch USDC private credit (10%, $37M), Maple USDC (4.79%, $3.3B) offer non-crypto-correlated income

โš ๏ธ Capacity Warning: Most high-APY opportunities are $5โ€“30M TVL. Capital entry will compress yields rapidly โ€” size positions relative to pool depth.

๐Ÿฅ Onchain Yields Health Report โ€” May 19, 2026

Composite Health Score: โš ๏ธ MIXED (3/5) โ€” Base lending rates below TradFi; organic yield available in niche LP/vaults; utilization spike risk elevated.

SignalStatusReading
DeFi Risk-Free Rate๐ŸŸก CompressedsUSDS (Sky SSR): 3.65% vs. US 3-mo T-bill ~3.7% โ€” parity, no premium
Stablecoin Utilization๐ŸŸ  Near KinkAave USDC: 91.6% utilization โ€” brief spike to 12.6% APY in Apr 17โ€“21 LRT unwind
Real Yield Spread๐Ÿ”ด NegativeBase lending APY 2โ€“4% < 10yr UST 4.24% โ€” structural risk premium absent in large pools
ETH Staking Floor๐ŸŸก StableLido / LSTs: 3.5โ€“4.5% โ€” reliable baseline, compressed vs 2024 cycle peaks
Organic High-Yield๐ŸŸข PresentDEX LPs (10โ€“65%), structured basis (12%+), Morpho isolated vaults
Incentive Sustainability๐ŸŸก MonitorBase/Aerodrome ecosystem rewards boosting LP yields โ€” watch reward token valuations

Benchmark reference: US 3-mo T-bill ~3.70% ยท Sky SSR 3.65% ยท sUSDe 4.32% ยท ETH staking base ~3.5%

๐Ÿ“‹ Master Yield Screener

Screens across all major DeFi yield sources with minimum $1M TVL and โ‰ฅ5% APY. Includes lending pools, DEX LPs, vaults, LST/LRT strategies, structured products, and incentivized pools. Sort by APY, TVL, or Base APY to identify organic vs. reward-driven yield. Flag: pools where Base APY โ‰ˆ Total APY = organic yield; where Reward APY dominates = incentive-dependent, monitor sustainability.

Filter tip: use the Base APY column to screen for organic yield. High Reward APY with low Base APY = incentive-driven โ€” sustainable only while rewards flow.

Yield Opportunities

Pool
Protocol
Chain
TVL
Supply APY
Borrow Cost APY
Total Supplied
Total Borrowed
LTV
30d Stability
IL Risk
No protocols match current filters

๐ŸŽฏ Yield Opportunities โ€” Screened Best Ideas

Screened as of May 19, 2026 | Min $5M TVL ยท APY โ‰ฅ10% ยท Base APY โ‰ฅ70% of Total APY

๐Ÿฅ‡ Highest-Quality Organic Yields (10%+, base-dominant)

  • Mainstreet MSUSD (Ethereum): 12% organic APY, $78M TVL โ€” institutional basis trading, no reward dependency
  • Morpho Alpha USDC Delta V2 (Ethereum): 12.6% organic APY, $25M TVL โ€” curated isolated lending vault
  • Avantis USDC (Base): 11.9% organic APY, $45M TVL โ€” derivatives protocol fee income
  • Goldfinch USDC (Ethereum): 10.1% organic APY, $37M TVL โ€” private credit RWA lending

๐Ÿ“ˆ Largest Pools with Attractive APY (>$20M TVL, >10% APY)

  • WETH-USDC Uniswap V3 (Base): 65% APY, $125M TVL โ€” concentrated LP, IL risk, active management required
  • USDC-WETH Uniswap V3 (Ethereum): 28% APY, $99M TVL โ€” organic LP fee yield on high-volume pair
  • SOL-USDC Orca DEX (Solana): 47% APY, $28M TVL โ€” organic LP, Solana ecosystem

โšก Incentive-Boosted (Monitor Sustainability)

  • USDC-AERO Aerodrome V1 (Base): 20.6%, $26M โ€” 100% reward-driven, monitor AERO price/emissions
  • Convex sdCRV (Ethereum): 18.5%, $28M โ€” CRV/CVX vote incentives, reduce risk with veCRV exposure
  • SparkLend USDS (Ethereum): 3.77%, $843M โ€” SPK token rewards boosting 3.65% SSR base

โš ๏ธ Capacity-Constrained (Will Compress on Entry)

  • AugustAUSD Morpho (Ethereum): ~99% APY, $8M โ€” extreme utilization in small vault, unsustainable at scale
  • alETH-frxETH Curve (Ethereum): 21% APY, $7M โ€” niche frxETH market, limited capacity

Yield Opportunities

Pool
Protocol
Chain
TVL
Supply APY
Base APY
Reward APY
30d Stability
IL Risk
No protocols match current filters

๐Ÿ’ต Stablecoin Yields

Focus: USDC, USDT, USDS/sUSDS, USDe/sUSDe, crvUSD, PYUSD, and structured stablecoin products. Includes lending, LP, vault, and looping strategies.

Yield Curve Summary (May 2026):

  • Floor (3.6โ€“3.7%): Sky SSR sUSDS โ€” DeFi risk-free rate, near-zero smart contract risk
  • Premium Tier (4โ€“5%): Ethena sUSDe (4.32%), Maple USDC (4.79%), Morpho Steakhouse USDC Base (~4.7%), Jupiter Lend USDC Solana (4.46%)
  • Structured/Alpha Tier (8โ€“13%): Mainstreet MSUSD (12%), Morpho Alpha USDC Delta V2 (12.6%), Avantis USDC (11.9%), Goldfinch private credit (10.1%)
  • Risk-Yield Trade-off: sUSDe offers ~65bp premium over sUSDS with funding rate risk. Above 8% requires smart contract risk in niche vaults, active LP management, credit risk (RWA), or basis trading mechanics.

Researcher Takeaway: Bulk stablecoin yield (~$1B+) is constrained to 3.6โ€“4.8% without meaningful yield compression risk. Meaningful alpha (>8%) requires either smaller pools or active management. The sUSDS โ†’ sUSDe โ†’ Maple/Jupiter progression is the core risk ladder.

Yield Opportunities

Pool
Protocol
Chain
TVL
Supply APY
Base APY
Reward APY
30d Stability
IL Risk
No protocols match current filters

โŸ  ETH & Liquid Staking / Restaking Yields

Focus: ETH, WETH, stETH, wstETH, rETH, cbETH, sfrxETH, ezETH, weETH โ€” staking, restaking, lending, LP, and leveraged strategies.

ETH Yield Ladder (May 2026):

  • Vanilla Staking (3.5โ€“4%): Lido stETH โ€” baseline, no active management, ~29.6% of ETH staked
  • Restaking Premium (3.4โ€“5.8%): ether.fi LiquidETH (3.38%, $157M), Avant avETH (5.36%, $11M)
  • Lending/Vault (5โ€“11%): Fluid Lite ETH (5.77%, $130M), Aave V3 WETH (5.3%, $14M), Convex msETH-WETH (11.2%, $7.8M)
  • LP/Concentrated (10โ€“21%): alETH-frxETH Curve (21%, $7M), Stake DAO msETH-WETH (10%, $6M)
  • Leveraged/Exotic (11โ€“85%): Morpho svETH (11.3%, $2M), mcWETH (85%, $4M โ€” extreme utilization, likely unsustainable)

Researcher Takeaway: For liquid funds, the risk-return profile maps cleanly: vanilla staking โ†’ LST lending collateral loops โ†’ restaking vaults โ†’ concentrated LP. Most institutional capital fits tiers 1โ€“3. The Convex/Curve LP tier (10โ€“21%) suits funds with active management. The 85% mcWETH vault is a transient rate spike โ€” do not anchor deployment around it.

Ethereum Yields

Pool
Protocol
Chain
TVL
Supply APY
Base APY
Reward APY
30d Stability
IL Risk
No protocols match current filters

โ‚ฟ Wrapped BTC Yields

Focus: WBTC, cbBTC, tBTC, LBTC, solvBTC, eBTC โ€” lending, LP, vault, and cross-chain strategies.

BTC Yield Landscape (May 2026): BTC yields are structurally thin. Aave V3 WBTC/cbBTC supply APYs are near-zero (0.006โ€“0.3%) due to low borrow demand โ€” BTC is primarily deposited as collateral, not actively borrowed.

Where BTC Yield Exists:

  • LP (highest, IL risk): WBTC-STRKBTC Ekubo Starknet (19.4%, $1.3M โ€” 70% STRK incentives), WBTC-WETH Uniswap V3 Arbitrum (11.2%, $40M โ€” organic)
  • Lending (isolated markets): WBTC Fraxlend (4.79%, $2.3M), GTWBTCC Morpho Blue (1.15%, $5.5M)
  • Bridge liquidity: WBTC Across Protocol (2.05%, $11M โ€” relayer fee income, bridge counterparty risk)
  • GMX V2 GLP: WBTC.B market making (3.38%, $7.5M โ€” delta-neutral, Arbitrum)

Researcher Takeaway: Pure BTC yield in DeFi requires accepting LP/IL risk, bridge risk, or relying on incentive tokens. Funds targeting BTC yield above 5% should consider institutional BTC-native products (Function/Mantle FBTC) outside this screener's scope. Most DeFi BTC pools are more suitable as collateral to borrow stablecoins for the stablecoin yield strategies above.

Yield Opportunities

Pool
Protocol
Chain
TVL
Supply APY
Base APY
Reward APY
30d Stability
IL Risk
No protocols match current filters

๐Ÿ’Ž Blue Chip DeFi Yields โ€” HYPE, SKY, AAVE, MORPHO, PENDLE

Yield opportunities involving major DeFi governance tokens and their ecosystems.

HYPE (Hyperliquid): kHYPE liquid staking (Kinetiq): 1.98%, $843M โ€” validator delegation; WHYPE-USDC LP (Project X): 60%, $11.8M โ€” high IL risk, organic; WHYPE-UBTC LP: 57%, $7.3M; WHYPE-UETH: 16%, $3.5M

SKY / USDS (Sky Protocol): sUSDS: 3.65%, $6.24B โ€” DeFi risk-free floor; SKY- leveraged farming (Origami): 13.4%, $3.5M; USDS-stUSDS Beefy: 10.3%, $3.6M; SKY-USDC Uniswap V4: 29%, $3.2M

AAVE: AAVE-USDC LP (Uniswap V4): 38.6%, $2.9M โ€” organic trading fees; AAVE-WETH LP (Uniswap V3): 2.65%, $4.1M

PENDLE: Fixed-rate PT markets enable locking in current yield rates on sUSDe, stETH, and RWA assets. Pendle medianApy reflects blended underlying rates across all active markets.

Researcher Takeaway: The USDS/Sky ecosystem is the only blue-chip DeFi token generating institutional-scale yield (>$6B at 3.65%). All others are LP-based (IL risk) or small pools. HYPE liquid staking is the emerging opportunity โ€” Kinetiq kHYPE at $843M TVL with 2% staking yield is a genuine new yield primitive as the Hyperliquid ecosystem matures.

Yield Opportunities

Pool
Protocol
Chain
TVL
Supply APY
Base APY
Reward APY
30d Stability
IL Risk
No protocols match current filters